This year’s monsoon season got off to a slow start. Rainfall in India was significantly lower than average up to the first part of June. There was a significant lack of rain in the Northwest and Central India.
The second half of June saw an increase in the frequency and intensity of rain events, and by the 22nd of June, the monsoon rain across the nation had reached its average level. Soon after that, the weather in Northwest India and the majority of Central India became dry because the humid easterly winds were replaced by dry and scorching westerly winds. This caused the climate in these regions to become arid.
As of the 24th of June, the rainfall shortfall was at -4 percent. As long as the resurrection of the monsoon remains feeble until June 27, we anticipate that the rainfall deficit will continue to worsen. The east-west trough will migrate to the south once more across the Northern Plains, which will result in an increase of easterly and south-easterly winds coming from the Bay of Bengal.
It is anticipated that the monsoon would start up once more on June 28. There is going to be rain throughout a very large portion of the country, particularly in the northwest and central areas of India. In June, we anticipate the monsoon will cease, and rainfall will return to normal. It seems like the first week of July will be wet throughout most of central and Northwest India. In the first part of July, there is a possibility that Western Rajasthan and the Kutch area of Gujarat may each have a few significant bouts of rain.